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How New Syria will change the water equation & water diplomacy in the Middle East

 

Dursun Yildiz, Dogan Yildiz, Mehmet Samil Gunes

Abstract 

After seven years long civil war, Syria move to another phase and federal, confederal models are more pronounced than before. Oil and gas pipelines has always played very significant role in the future of the Middle-East. Experts says that Middle East has been reshaping on the base of new energy equation in the Eastern Mediterrranean and new oil-gas transport route n the Middle East. Safe transportation plan of oil and gas resources to the west in a secure area has New Syria and reshaped the region. The new design of the region will fed the mistrust betweeen neighbours and change the water equation adversely. New cantoons, new states or federational of Syria-Iraq will bring new actors in regional hydropolitics. It will also create lack of trust and lack of confidence between neighbours in the region that may lead to re-securitize the water making water diplomacy uneffective in the Middle East. Syria’s new structure is slowly becoming more pronounced in international area. In this article, we aim to analyse these developments regarding water security issues. We also argued that how climate change may impact current water equation and water diplomacy in the New Middle East

Index Terms— Reshaped Syria, New Water Equation, Statistical Hydrology, Water Management, New Syria, Euphrates and Tigris, Transboundary waters

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INTRODUCTION

After seven years of war, the Assad government, backed by Russian and Iranian military muscle, controls much of central Syria again. Although the political system of New Syria is not certain yet, it is likely   in order

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