1 2 3 4 S. Topcu , B. Sen , M. Türkeş and B. Sen

1 Cukurova University, Faculty of Agriculture, Dept. of Agricultural Structures and Irrigation 01330 Adana/TURKEY

2 Turkish State Meteorological Service, Department of Weather Forecasting, Numerical Weather Prediction Division, 06120 Kalaba-Ankara/TURKEY

3 Canakkale Onsekiz Mart University, Faculty of Sciences and Arts, Department of Geography, Terzioglu Campus, 17020 Canakkale/TURKEY

4 Karabuk University, Faculty of Engineering, Dept. of Computer Engineering, 78050 Karabuk/TURKEY

 

Abstract.

Drought has become a recurring phenomenon in Turkey in the past few decades. Analyzing the historical occurrence and future projections of drought characteristics such as frequency, intensity and duration provide a better understanding of the range of climate futures for one particular country. Hence, this study aimed at analyzing the likely changes of drought characteristics in the future. The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) has been used to assess the drought characteristics. Rainfall datasets for the period 1960-1990 were acquired from 52 stations throughout Turkey. The future rainfall series for the years 2070-2100 were simulated using a regional climate model (RegCM3). The validated RegCM3 was used for simulating future climatic data, and the simulated rainfall series were used for calculation of drought indices. To asses the likely changes in future drought characteristics, each simulated future rainfall series was compared with the average rainfall amount derived from the reference period in SPI calculations. The maps were drawn to determine the spatial changes of droughts. The results showed that drought conditions are diverse in the country, and also increasing trends for intensity, frequency and duration were detected. The Eastern part of Marmara, the Black Sea and north-east part of the East Anatolia Region are characterized by wetter conditions. Particularly severe drought conditions are expected in the Western Mediterranean and Aegean Regions, although other regions will also confront with more frequent, intense and long lasting droughts.

Keywords. Drought monitoring – SPI – Climate change.

For full article please click on

Topcu et al_2010_Projected changes in drought conditions of Turkey


  • gplus
  • pinterest

Author

Prof .Dr. Murat Türkeş

1. Family name: Türkeş
2. First names: Murat
3. Date of birth: 23.06.1957
4. Nationality: Turkish
5. Civil status: Married
6. Education: Physical Geography and Geology (under graduate) & Climatology and Meteorology (MSc, PhD)
Institution [ Date from - Date to ] Degree(s) or Diploma(s) obtained:
İstanbul University, Institute of Marine Sciences and
Geography (1986-1990)
PhD in Climatology and Meteorology
Ankara University, Department of Physical
Geography and Geology (1983-1985)
MSc in Physical Geography (on Synoptic Climatology)
Ankara University, Department of Physical
Geography and Geology (1977-1981)
BS in Physical Geography and Geology
7. Present position:
Professor of Physical Geography and Geology & Climatology and Meteorology
Affiliated Faculty at the Department of Statistics
Middle East Technical University (METU), Ankara, Turkey
8. Previous position:
- Representative of the Professors to the Faculty Committee at the Faculty of Sciences and Arts, Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart University
2
- Full time lecturer and Professor at the Department of Geography of the Faculty of Sciences and Arts, Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart U niversity
- Member of the Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart University University Senate (Senator) on behalf of the Faculty of Sciences and Arts,
- Member of the Scientific Research Commission of the Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart University University on behalf of the Faculty of Sciences and
Arts,
- Head of the Department of Geography at the Faculty of Sciences and Arts, Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart University, Çanakkale, Turkey.
9. Years within the institute: Nine years at the Department of Geography of the Faculty of Sciences and Arts, Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart
University, but -in the past- about 23 years for the Turkish State Meteorological Service.
10. Areas of Expertise: Physical geography and geology, climatology and meteorology; climate change and variability; statistical data and time
series analysis of climatological, meteorological, hydrological and climate-related series of observations, drought and desertification with
respect to the climate and climatic variations; forest fires climatology and meteorology; natural disasters; the United Nations Framework
Convention on Climate Change and its Kyoto Protocol; energy policies and environmental protection; sustainable development and climate
change.
3
11. Professional experience
Date from – Date to Location Institution Position
1 March 2013 – Ankara Affiliated Faculty at the Department of
Statistics, Middle East Technical University
(METU), Ankara, Turkey
Affiliated Professor
14 May 2004 – 31 January 2013 Çanakkale Physical Geography Division, Department of
Geography, Faculty of Sciences and Arts,
Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart University
- Full time lecturer and Professor
[Head of the Department
(October 2004 – February 2010)]
14 December 1981 – 11 May
2004
Ankara Turkish State Meteorological Service, (i)
Department of Weather Forecasts; (ii)
Department of Research and Data Processing
Geomorphologist and
Climatologist
12. Some Peer review journals that I have served as a referee:
- International Journal of Climatology
- Climatic Change
- Quaternary Science Reviews
- Nature
- International Journal of Global Environmental Issues
- Theoretical and Applied Climatology
- Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics
- Studia Geophysica et Geodaetica
- Global and Planetary Change
- Journal of Environmental Management
4
- Geological Bulletin of Turkey (Türkiye Jeoloji Bülteni, in Turkish)
- ISRN Meteorology
- Open Atmospheric Science Journal
- Advances in Civil Engineering
- Journal of Biology and Life Sciences (BIO)
- Journal of the Aegean Geography (Ege Coğrafya Dergisi, in Turkish)
- Journal of Ecology (Ekoloji Dergisi, in Turkish)
- Journal of Climatology
- Technical Journal of Environment, Science and Technology (Çevre, Bilim ve Teknoloji Teknik Dergi, in Turkish)
- Journal of Geographical Sciences (Coğrafi Bilimler Dergisi, in Turkish)
- Ankara University Journal of Environmental Sciences (Ankara Üniversitesi Çevre Bilimleri Dergisi, in Turkish)
- Iğdır Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü Dergisi
- Çukurova Üniversitesi Ziraat Fakültesi Dergisi
- Afyon Kocatepe Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi
- Stratejik Araştırmalar Dergisi

Leave a comment